September 20 2023: Over the past 6 days, the sea ice had a very tiny decrease, at the rate of 0.19%, from the level on 09/14/2023 of 4.259 M km2 to 4.251 M km2 for this week. So, we might be right at the turnaround point. We are now getting near the point of turnaround from sea ice decrease to increase and so we’ll see how that goes over the next few weeks; things are slowing down a bit and perhaps we are near that transition point.
The negative sea ice anomaly this week was higher than the anomaly of -1.158 M km2 on 09/14/2023 to a greater negative anomaly of -1.273 M km2 on 09/20/2023, and so more anomalously negative for this time of year.
In the waters around Antarctica, 2023 stands out as an extremely low sea ice year. The record began in 1979 and the sea ice extent this current austral winter season is outside of 6 standard deviations (SD) for the time series. Note that the grey shading in our Arctic sea ice plots (like the one above) is usually two standard deviations, whereas the below plot for Antarctic waters shows six SD. The current situation around Antarctica is a truly extreme deviation from what could be considered normal for the austral sea ice season.